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Working papers in finance and economics from SSRN. 2,771 featured so far, newest first.

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2,771
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712
Cited 100+
1
Since
24 May 2023
  1. 2 Oct 2026

    Across the Capital Structure: Bond Signals and Equity Returns *

    Signals extracted from corporate bond portfolios predict next-month equity returns of same issuers at 21 basis points higher after controlling for stock characteristics.

    SSRNAsset Pricing & Factors

    4fanfare
  2. 2 Oct 2026

    Order Flow Imbalance and Price Discovery on Prediction Markets: Evidence from Kalshi

    Order flow imbalance predicts contemporaneous mid-price changes in Kalshi binary event contracts, with explanatory power varying from 0.29 for sports to 0.02 for macroeconomic events.

    SSRNTrading, Microstructure & Execution

    3fanfare
  3. 2 Oct 2026

    Banks versus Private Credit: How Capital Requirements Shape Tailored Lending

    The study models how capital requirements tax banks on tailored loans, pushing riskier firms toward private credit; evidence shows that tighter leverage rules reduce bank tailoring by 25 percent in quantitative terms.

    SSRNRisk, Credit & Banking

    4fanfare
  4. 2 Oct 2026

    What Survives an FOMC Surprise? Confounding and the Persistence of Announcement Effects in Asset Prices

    Analyzing 261 FOMC announcements shows that immediate stock and yield impacts from policy surprises persist, while post-announcement drift and monetary momentum unwind within days or weeks.

    SSRNMacro-Finance & Rates

    3fanfare
  5. 2 Oct 2026

    U.S. Monetary Policy and Global Market Liquidity

    The study shows that US federal funds rate shocks widen bid-ask spreads on equities across 37 markets for up to two months, while longer-maturity yield surprises reprice equities without affecting liquidity.

    SSRNMacro-Finance & Rates

    3fanfare
  6. 2 Oct 2026

    Credit When it's Due: Corporate Bond Factors on a Schedule

    The research finds that the first five trading days of each month account for 73% of individual bond credit returns and 83% of the market credit premium, revealing a concentrated timing pattern in fixed-income compensation.

    SSRNDerivatives & Volatility

    3fanfare
  7. 2 Oct 2026

    Global Debt, Currency Mismatch, and the Spillovers of U.S. Monetary Policy

    US monetary tightening triggers larger currency depreciation and sovereign stress in emerging markets when global public debt is high and foreign-currency debt exposure is elevated.

    SSRNMacro-Finance & Rates

    3fanfare
  8. 2 Oct 2026

    Residual Learning in Empirical Asset Pricing

    Deep residual networks outperform shallow models in asset pricing, achieving a long-short Sharpe ratio of 2.07 versus 1.92 for shallow versions by preserving and refining earlier layers.

    SSRNML & AI Methods

    3fanfare
  9. 2 Oct 2026

    The Ant Group IPO Halt as a Natural Experiment on Chinese Fintech Regulation, Firm Valuations, and Shadow-Lending Contraction: A High-Frequency Event Study with Synthetic-Control Validation

    The study exploits Ant Group's suspended IPO in November 2020 as a natural experiment, finding that highly exposed firms suffered roughly 21 percentage point abnormal returns and experienced a 42% contraction in shadow-loan balances.

    SSRNAsset Pricing & Factors

    3fanfare
  10. 2 Oct 2026

    Market-Implied Policy-Outcome Dispersion and Long-Run Equity Volatility: Meeting-Level Evidence from Kalshi FOMC Contracts

    Using Kalshi FOMC contract probabilities, the paper shows that cross-outcome variance in Federal Reserve policy expectations contains significant information about long-run stock market volatility.

    SSRNDerivatives & Volatility

    3fanfare
  11. 2 Oct 2026

    Dynamic Graph Neural Networks for Real Time Systemic Risk Surveillance: An Explainable AI Framework for Financial Stability

    The research proposes a temporal graph neural network with explainability tools for real-time systemic risk surveillance, achieving early warning signals 3-4 quarters ahead of financial distress on bank data.

    SSRNML & AI Methods

    3fanfare
  12. 2 Oct 2026

    Monetary Policy and Bond Return Decomposition Across Regimes

    The research decomposes bond returns into real rates, risk premia, and inflation expectations, finding that forward guidance and asset purchases had opposite effects at the zero lower bound versus normal times.

    SSRNMacro-Finance & Rates

    3fanfare
  13. 2 Oct 2026

    The Rollover Clock: Debt Maturity, the Central-Bank Balance Sheet, and the Debt Limit of a Reserve-Currency Sovereign

    Rollover clock measurement of consolidated Treasury and central bank liability repricing predicts U.S. Treasury interest rates and prices inflation costs of fiscal deficits.

    SSRNMacro-Finance & Rates

    3fanfare
  14. 2 Oct 2026

    The Capacity of Equity Anomalies

    Computing capacity for 35 anomalies reveals that high-alpha long legs support less than $2 billion before trading costs eliminate excess returns, while lower-alpha strategies support billions more.

    SSRNPortfolio & Allocation

    3fanfare
  15. 2 Oct 2026

    Why Most Stocks Underperform the Index: Idiosyncratic Variance Drag and the Geometry of Compounding

    A lognormal model shows that individual stocks carry an idiosyncratic variance penalty making most underperform the index, with about one-third beating the market over five years.

    SSRNAsset Pricing & Factors

    3fanfare
  16. 2 Oct 2026

    Spot Bitcoin ETF Flows and Bitcoin Returns: Timestamp Alignment and Asymmetric Feedback

    Correcting for timestamp mismatch between ETF and Bitcoin markets, the study finds that same-day flows predict next-day returns at 1.67 percentage points per billion of inflow, while prior Bitcoin returns predict flows.

    SSRNTrading, Microstructure & Execution

    3fanfare
  17. 2 Oct 2026

    Liquidity Capacity and Token Survival in Cryptocurrency Markets

    The research shows that adjusted illiquidity—price impact scaled by market absorption capacity—predicts which cryptocurrency tokens survive better than volatility, improving out-of-sample forecasting of token death.

    SSRNCrypto & DeFi

    3fanfare
  18. 2 Oct 2026

    Does Crypto Trading Activity Follow New York Time? Cross-Venue and New York-London Evidence from Clock Changes

    Bitcoin and Ether trading activity on major venues increases during the UTC window aligned with New York market open, with the effect appearing on both assets.

    SSRNTrading, Microstructure & Execution

    3fanfare
  19. 2 Oct 2026

    Less Is More: Forecast Granularity, Estimation Error, and Portfolio Choice

    Investors using machine-learning forecasts can achieve Sharpe ratios of 1.2 by adjusting the number of portfolio groups based on the forecast's information coefficient, beating standard decile sorts.

    SSRNPortfolio & Allocation

    2fanfare
  20. 2 Oct 2026

    An Auditable Public-Data U.S. Equity Research Pipeline: Point-in-Time Factors, Asset Pricing, Portfolio Construction, and Walk-Forward Machine Learning

    A reproducible pipeline for factor research finds no model reliably beats simple approaches after accounting for transaction costs in point-in-time factor tests.

    SSRNAsset Pricing & Factors

    2fanfare
  21. 2 Oct 2026

    Filing Discipline: Regulatory Disclosure Behavior and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns

    Filing discipline characteristics built from SEC timestamp data alone predict cross-sectional stock returns with a net Sharpe ratio of 1.27, concentrated in smaller and more volatile stocks.

    SSRNAsset Pricing & Factors

    2fanfare
  22. 2 Oct 2026

    Market History, Rebuilt A Reproducible Synthetic U.S. Total-Return Dataset for Leverage and Duration Research ChemicalStats • Anonymous Risk Researcher

    A new 234-year synthetic total-return dataset for equities and Treasuries reveals that permanent 3× leverage faces near-total loss in most reconstructions, ranking below 2× on risk-adjusted returns.

    SSRNEconometrics & Forecasting

    2fanfare
  23. 2 Oct 2026

    Tail Risk Hedging in Equity Portfolios: Evaluating the Cost-Effectiveness of Out-of-the-Money Put Options versus Dynamic Tail-Risk Mitigation Strategies During High-Volatility Regimes

    Static out-of-the-money put options provide crash protection but drag long-term returns, while dynamic tail-risk strategies adapt to market regimes and deliver superior risk-adjusted returns across cycles.

    SSRNDerivatives & Volatility

    2fanfare
  24. 2 Oct 2026

    The Geometry of Risk: An Integrated Monitoring Framework for Multi-Asset Systemic Stress

    The research develops a four-layer diagnostic framework combining network topology, dynamic causality, tail risk, and regime classification to monitor multi-asset systemic stress in real time.

    SSRNRisk, Credit & Banking

    2fanfare
  25. 2 Oct 2026

    Evolution of Market Microstructure in the Age of AI From Double-Sided Continuous Auctions to Agentic Markets

    A survey traces how market design rules evolved from floor trading to limit order books to automated market makers to agent-based trading systems.

    SSRNTrading, Microstructure & Execution

    2fanfare
  26. 2 Oct 2026

    Geopolitical Risk and Global Financial Market Integration: Dynamic Connectedness across Energy, Commodity, Carbon, and Equity Markets

    Global connectedness across energy, commodity, carbon, and equity markets averages 52.4 percent and spikes to approximately 95 percent during major geopolitical disruptions.

    SSRNMacro-Finance & Rates

    2fanfare
  27. 2 Oct 2026

    Impact of Central Bank Digital Currencies on Financial Stability

    Calibrated simulations show existing central bank digital currencies remain below thresholds needed to measurably affect bank credit or financial stability.

    SSRNRisk, Credit & Banking

    2fanfare
  28. 2 Oct 2026

    Market Attention and Information Quality in On-Chain Prediction Markets: Evidence from Polymarket

    On-chain prediction market analysis finds 68.2 percent of volume sits in well-calibrated markets with average seven-day pricing error of 0.03.

    SSRNTrading, Microstructure & Execution

    2fanfare
  29. 2 Oct 2026

    Order Flow Imbalance and Price Impact in Indian Equity Derivatives: Cross-Sectional Evidence from NSE F&O Markets

    Multilevel order flow imbalance in Indian equity derivatives predicts mean-reverting price dynamics with information coefficients growing from -0.004 at ten seconds to -0.032 at sixty seconds.

    SSRNTrading, Microstructure & Execution

    2fanfare
  30. 2 Oct 2026

    Bayesian Vector Autoregression for Joint Macroeconomic Forecasting: Pseudo-Real-Time Evidence, Density Forecasts, Structural Dynamics, Scenario Analysis, and Practical Macro-Risk Use for the United States

    The research develops a compact Bayesian VAR for real-time forecasting of GDP growth, inflation, unemployment, and the federal funds rate, with evaluation emphasizing density scores and predictive-interval diagnostics.

    SSRNEconometrics & Forecasting

    2fanfare
  31. 25 Sep 2026

    Artificial intelligence and financial markets

    A survey examines how AI transforms information production, intermediation, and market structure, with implications for efficiency, competition and financial stability.

    SSRNML & AI Methods

    4fanfare
  32. 25 Sep 2026

    Label alchemy: Target engineering for improved stock selection

    Reshaping the prediction target through location, scale and shape transformations raises long-short Sharpe from 0.68 to 1.69, with label choice mattering more than model choice.

    SSRNML & AI Methods

    4fanfare
  33. 25 Sep 2026

    Algorithmic Collusion by Reinforcement-Learning Pricing Agents: Simulation Evidence and Implications for Financial Markets and Competition Law

    Q-learning pricing agents in simulated duopolies reach supracompetitive outcomes with no communication, achieving collusion indices of 0.778 and 40% profit gains over competitive benchmarks.

    SSRNTrading, Microstructure & Execution

    4fanfare
  34. 25 Sep 2026

    From D&I to D&I: European Capital Markets' Regime Shift from Diversity and Inclusion to Defence and Infrastructure

    European defence stocks repriced sharply starting November 2021, two to three months before Russia's invasion, delivering 26% alpha and reflecting release of ESG-exclusion constraints.

    SSRNAsset Pricing & Factors

    4fanfare
  35. 25 Sep 2026

    Forward Guidance and the Dynamics of Bank Credit: The Bank Balance-Sheet Channel of Monetary News

    High-frequency analysis reveals contractionary forward guidance immediately cuts bank lending, while expansionary guidance produces weak stimulus, driven by binding capital constraints.

    SSRNRisk, Credit & Banking

    3fanfare
  36. 25 Sep 2026

    Memorisation or Alpha? Detecting Look-Ahead Contamination in Cross-Sectional Equity Signals

    Testing whether a large language model ranks stocks by forecasting or memory, the study finds a significant information-coefficient gap of 0.185 inside versus outside its training window, suggesting substantial look-ahead contamination.

    SSRNML & AI Methods

    3fanfare
  37. 25 Sep 2026

    Beta Recall, Alpha Recall, and a Contamination Detector that Needs No Labels * Measuring Training-data Leakage in LLM Equity Signals

    The study measures recall versus forecasting in an LLM's stock rankings by comparing cross-sectional information coefficients inside and outside the training window.

    SSRNML & AI Methods

    3fanfare
  38. 25 Sep 2026

    Incentives at Play: Fee-Induced Volume on a Regulated Perpetual Futures Venue

    Analysis of Kalshi's regulated Bitcoin and Ethereum futures reveals that 39-48% of notional trades are mechanical fixed-size orders that vanish when fees are charged, indicating costless artificial volume rather than legitimate trading.

    SSRNTrading, Microstructure & Execution

    3fanfare
  39. 25 Sep 2026

    LLM-Based Semantic Surprises in FOMC Communication: Asset Prices and Financial-Market Stress

    Semantic surprises extracted from Federal Reserve statements predict subsequent financial-stress dynamics and reduce forecast error by up to 23%, particularly when initial stress is high or during recessions.

    SSRNLLMs & Text

    3fanfare
  40. 25 Sep 2026

    Welcome to the Factor Zoo: Where Mutual Fund Alpha Hides

    Using factor selection, the study finds mean active alpha of plus 9 basis points monthly for mutual funds, reversing the no-alpha conclusion when benchmarks are tailored to each fund.

    SSRNPortfolio & Allocation

    3fanfare
  41. 25 Sep 2026

    Speculative Leverage and Factor Momentum

    Factor momentum strategies earn 49 basis points per month extra return following quarters of rapid margin-debt growth, a predictability that persists after publication and reflects limits to arbitrage correction.

    SSRNAsset Pricing & Factors

    3fanfare
  42. 25 Sep 2026

    Execution-Aware Alpha Mining: Teaching LLM Factor Agents to Account for Trading Costs

    The paper builds a closed-loop system where an LLM proposes equity factors penalized for execution costs and shows that accounting for trading costs dramatically improves net performance.

    SSRNML & AI Methods

    3fanfare
  43. 25 Sep 2026

    Prices or implied volatilities? Choosing the loss function in machine learning option pricing

    The paper compares machine learning option pricing trained on pricing errors versus implied-volatility errors using 8.67 million S&P 500 index-option observations from 1997 through 2025.

    SSRNDerivatives & Volatility

    3fanfare
  44. 25 Sep 2026

    Monetary policy transmission by securitising banks

    Banks engaged in securitization contract lending more sharply after monetary tightening because their investor base demands higher returns and cuts risk exposure when rates rise.

    SSRNRisk, Credit & Banking

    3fanfare
  45. 25 Sep 2026

    Hedge Fund Trading and Sovereign Bond Yield Sensitivity

    Leveraged hedge fund positions amplify sovereign bond yield sensitivity to monetary shocks by over a quarter through directional rebalancing, with effects scaling to position intensity.

    SSRNDerivatives & Volatility

    3fanfare
  46. 25 Sep 2026

    Firm-Specific Price Delay and Momentum

    Momentum profits concentrate among firms with high price delay, a measure of information friction, directly supporting theories that gradual information incorporation drives momentum.

    SSRNAsset Pricing & Factors

    3fanfare
  47. 25 Sep 2026

    Industry Information and Equity Return Predictability

    Using production, employment, and sales data across 426 industries, the research shows that upstream industry signals predict aggregate monthly stock returns with 23.8% out-of-sample R-squared.

    SSRNEconometrics & Forecasting

    3fanfare
  48. 25 Sep 2026

    Expectations and the Term Structure of Interest Rates

    Decomposing yield sensitivity without assuming rational expectations reveals that expectations rather than risk premia drive short- and medium-term bond yields, with systematic inconsistencies across horizons.

    SSRNMacro-Finance & Rates

    3fanfare
  49. 25 Sep 2026

    Hedge Fund Performance and Interest Rate Conditions: Evidence from Regulatory Data

    Using SEC filings from 2013-2021, the paper finds hedge fund returns show heterogeneous sensitivity to interest rates, with effects varying by strategy, leverage, and derivative exposure.

    SSRNRisk, Credit & Banking

    3fanfare
  50. 25 Sep 2026

    Settlement Risk and Currency Markets

    Hungary's 2015 adoption of payment-versus-payment settlement reduced currency excess returns by ten basis points, demonstrating settlement risk is a priced friction limiting arbitrage.

    SSRNTrading, Microstructure & Execution

    3fanfare
  51. 25 Sep 2026

    Tail-Risk Forecasting with General Cubic Distributions

    A cubic quantile framework forecasts Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall more reliably than GARCH benchmarks across eight equity indices without requiring a parametric density.

    SSRNDerivatives & Volatility

    3fanfare
  52. 25 Sep 2026

    MartingaleONet: Physics-Constrained Operator Learning for Real-Time Option Pricing and Volatility Calibration

    A deep operator network maps volatility surfaces to option prices under the Heston model 15,000 times faster than finite-difference methods while reducing dynamic hedging variance by over 59% under transaction costs.

    SSRNDerivatives & Volatility

    2fanfare
  53. 25 Sep 2026

    State-dependent global banking systemic risk: An integrated framework of network connectedness, tail risk, and global financial conditions

    Combining quantile-connectedness, tail-risk measures, and network analysis, the research shows tail connectedness exceeds median levels and lower-tail effects persist longer, with the VIX alone reliably predicting next-week systemic risk.

    SSRNRisk, Credit & Banking

    2fanfare
  54. 25 Sep 2026

    The Low Return Channel of Negative Interest Rates in Bank Lending

    Japan's 2016 negative-rate policy reduced lending from low-profitability banks holding reserves, consistent with lower expected returns on bank assets rather than deposit-side stress.

    SSRNRisk, Credit & Banking

    2fanfare
  55. 25 Sep 2026

    Banking-System Heterogeneity and Monetary Policy Transmission in the Euro Area: High-Frequency Shocks, Local Projections, and Regime Dependence

    A 100-basis-point contractionary monetary shock lowers inflation and sales across 20 euro-area economies, with transmission strength varying by bank asset-risk exposure and assets-to-GDP ratio rather than a simple weak-strong taxonomy.

    SSRNMacro-Finance & Rates

    2fanfare
  56. 25 Sep 2026

    Fedspeak, LLM-Derived Signals, and High-Frequency Trading

    Semantic and tonal shifts across sequential Federal Reserve communications generate significant intraday price movements and abnormal volume, revealing incomplete information absorption at initial announcement.

    SSRNTrading, Microstructure & Execution

    2fanfare
  57. 25 Sep 2026

    Crossing the Zero Lower Bound: Negative Interest Rates and Corporate Valuation

    Comparing firms across the ECB's 2014 negative rate adoption shows treated European firms had higher valuations but reduced leverage, suggesting cash-flow and discount-rate channels dominate tax-shield effects.

    SSRNAsset Pricing & Factors

    2fanfare
  58. 25 Sep 2026

    Signature-Based Structural Models and Applications in Credit Markets

    The study develops a time-varying signature asset model for structural credit that improves calibration across CDS maturities and equity option prices, especially for high-yield firms.

    SSRNRisk, Credit & Banking

    2fanfare
  59. 25 Sep 2026

    Data-Driven Minimax-Regret Portfolio Optimization under Tail-Risk Ambiguity

    The research proposes a data-driven portfolio method that blends tail-risk models and projects onto valid mixtures, providing bounds on Expected Shortfall regret without Wasserstein assumptions.

    SSRNPortfolio & Allocation

    2fanfare
  60. 25 Sep 2026

    Sell, Hold Out, or Accept: The Creditor's Trilemma in Distressed Debt Exchanges

    Analysis of 284 distressed exchanges from 2009-2022 reveals over 50% of firms face subsequent default, with large illiquid creditors trapped in a prisoner's dilemma explaining high acceptance rates.

    SSRNRisk, Credit & Banking

    3fanfare
  61. 28 Dec 2025

    Analysis of Fundamental and Technical Financial Ford Motor Company with The Arrangements of Implication Black Volatility

    The study shows that Ford Motor Company had its smallest earnings per share payout gap in 2020 compared to previous years.

    SSRNDerivatives & VolatilityFeatured 2×

    1cites
  62. 28 Dec 2025

    Gingado: A Machine Learning Library Focused on Economics and Finance

    ML for Economics: Gingado is a developing Python library that helps incorporate machine learning into economic research by enhancing datasets and evaluating models.

    SSRNML & AI MethodsFeatured 2×

    5cites
  63. 28 Dec 2025

    Investigating the Corporate Governance and Sustainability Relationship A Bibliometric Analysis Using Keyword-Ensemble Community Detection

    The paper explores how corporate governance relates to sustainability, emphasizing the need to consider stakeholder interests in long-term responsibility practices.

    SSRNCorporate FinanceFeatured 2×

    2cites
  64. 28 Dec 2025

    Cash vs. Crypto in DeFi

    The article discusses how cryptocurrencies can improve societal functions compared to traditional currencies and emphasizes the innovations needed to build confidence in decentralized finance.

    SSRNCrypto & DeFiFeatured 2×

    45shares
  65. 28 Dec 2025

    Factors Undermining Quality of Medical-Care Services Delivered by a Physician in Today’s Medical-Care Market Country-Wise: Statistical Analysis

    This study examines the factors affecting the quality of medical services in Bangladesh, utilizing patient feedback and statistical analysis to pinpoint crucial influences on care quality.

    SSRNOtherFeatured 2×

    0cites
  66. 28 Dec 2025

    Asset Prices, Collateral and Bank Lending: The Case of COVID-19 and Real Estate

    The paper investigates the euro area's banking system's role in transmitting asset price shocks to credit during the Covid-19 crisis, highlighting significant frictions and a decrease in lending related to real estate collateral.

    SSRNRisk, Credit & BankingFeatured 2×

    3cites
  67. 28 Dec 2025

    Twitter Sentiment and Financial Trends

    A new financial sentiment index derived from Twitter data shows strong links to market conditions and can forecast stock market returns, particularly in response to changes in U.S. monetary policy.

    SSRNLLMs & TextFeatured 2×

    105shares
  68. 28 Dec 2025

    Global Liquidity and Volatility

    Global liquidity from banks impacts responses to crises and eases funding strains internationally.

    SSRNDerivatives & VolatilityFeatured 2×

    77shares
  69. 28 Dec 2025

    ESG in Auto Loans

    Higher ESG scores in auto loan securitizations lower costs and consumer interest rates, despite environmental concerns.

    SSRNMacro-Finance & RatesFeatured 2×

    1,044shares
  70. 28 Dec 2025

    Vaccine Innovation Funding Strategy

    A portfolio approach to drug development may improve investment returns and speed up vaccine creation.

    SSRNPortfolio & AllocationFeatured 2×

    108shares
  71. 28 Dec 2025

    Robert C. Merton's Contributions

    Robert C. Merton is a significant finance scholar known for his work on derivatives pricing and finance theories.

    SSRNDerivatives & VolatilityFeatured 2×

    456shares
  72. 28 Dec 2025

    Low Volatility Asset Valuation in Brazilian Stock Market: Lower Risk with Higher Returns

    Lower volatility Brazilian stocks have consistently outperformed high-volatility stocks in annual returns from 2003 to 2021.

    SSRNDerivatives & VolatilityFeatured 2×

    0cites
  73. 28 Dec 2025

    Twitter and Monetary Policy

    Online discussions about central bank policies correlate strongly with market volatility, especially around ECB announcements.

    SSRNMacro-Finance & RatesFeatured 2×

    181shares
  74. 28 Dec 2025

    Stochastic Social Preferences and Corporate Investment Decisions

    Investor preferences affect firms' green investments, potentially slowing down the transition to sustainable practices.

    SSRNCorporate FinanceFeatured 2×

    1cites
  75. 28 Dec 2025

    Corporate Bond Pricing Challenges

    The effectiveness of multifactor models for corporate bond returns is debated, with a preference for the bond CAPM in analyses.

    SSRNMacro-Finance & RatesFeatured 2×

    3,698shares
  76. 28 Dec 2025

    Global Dollar Holdings Trends

    Foreign institutional investors significantly increased their USD security holdings, influenced by varying currency hedging demands.

    SSRNDerivatives & VolatilityFeatured 2×

    881shares
  77. 28 Dec 2025

    Regulating Cash Holdings: Assessing Lost Returns in Mutual Funds

    Israeli mutual funds hold excessive cash, indicating a need for better liquidity management to reduce redemption risks.

    SSRNPortfolio & AllocationFeatured 2×

    3cites
  78. 28 Dec 2025

    Bitcoin's Price Alchemy: Unraveling the Influence of Macro Announcements on Volatility and Trading Volume in an Era of Rising Inflation

    Bitcoin's price volatility significantly reacts to FOMC and CPI announcements, showing unique patterns during inflation.

    SSRNCrypto & DeFiFeatured 2×

    0cites
  79. 28 Dec 2025

    Bias in Credit Ratings

    Subscription-based credit rating agencies may have biases that lead to overly optimistic ratings, complicating conflict resolution.

    SSRNRisk, Credit & BankingFeatured 2×

    447shares
  80. 28 Dec 2025

    Decoding the Unique Price Behavior in the Japanese Stock Market with Convolutional Neural Networks

    Analyzing Japanese stock charts with CNN reveals predictive patterns for returns, independent of common momentum trends.

    SSRNML & AI MethodsFeatured 2×

    0cites
  81. 28 Dec 2025

    Carbon Risk and Equity Prices

    Carbon transition risk is adversely affecting equity prices in the US and Europe, driving fund flows to greener investments.

    SSRNOtherFeatured 2×

    2cites
  82. 28 Dec 2025

    Sustainable Investment in Climate

    Global investments in environmental and climate projects are diversifying as investors integrate more green initiatives into their portfolios.

    SSRNPortfolio & AllocationFeatured 2×

    66shares
  83. 28 Dec 2025

    Interpretable Machine Learning for Asset Pricing

    The paper utilizes deep neural networks to more accurately estimate equity risk premia over time, enhancing the interpretability of machine learning in economics.

    SSRNAsset Pricing & FactorsFeatured 2×

    5cites
  84. 28 Dec 2025

    Sparse Risk Parity Enhanced Index Tracking Portfolio

    It tackles a sparse risk parity portfolio problem for index tracking while managing asset risks, with successful results on the SP 500.

    SSRNPortfolio & AllocationFeatured 2×

    0cites
  85. 28 Dec 2025

    Chinese Bond Dynamics During COVID-19

    The study examines the changes in the Chinese government bond yield curve during the pandemic, highlighting new behaviors and arbitrage potential.

    SSRNMacro-Finance & RatesFeatured 2×

    132shares
  86. 28 Dec 2025

    Optimal Trading with Costs and Predictability

    It establishes optimal trading rules for multiple assets with predictable returns, showing performance benefits through simulations.

    SSRNTrading, Microstructure & ExecutionFeatured 2×

    630shares
  87. 28 Dec 2025

    The Banker in Your Social Network

    The research indicates that social financial advice significantly boosts stock market participation, especially through close social ties.

    SSRNML & AI MethodsFeatured 2×

    1cites
  88. 28 Dec 2025

    Asset Pricing and Stochastic Discount Factors

    The paper outlines the required conditions for modeling stock prices with characteristics-based factor portfolios, addressing covariate structure issues.

    SSRNAsset Pricing & FactorsFeatured 2×

    89shares
  89. 28 Dec 2025

    A probabilistic method for reconstructing the Foreign Direct Investments network in search of ultimate host economies

    It introduces Ultimate Host Economies for Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), reexamining the global FDI network through a probabilistic analysis of Italy.

    SSRNOtherIn Adv. Data Anal. Classif.Featured 2×

    1cites
  90. 28 Dec 2025

    Financial Intermediation and New Technology: Theoretical and Regulatory Implications of Digital Financial Markets

    The study highlights how technological changes are reshaping financial intermediaries, necessitating regulatory updates.

    SSRNOtherFeatured 2×

    8cites
  91. 28 Dec 2025

    Financial Fragilities and Risk-taking of Corporate Bond Funds in the Aftermath of Central Bank Policy Interventions

    It finds that central bank asset purchases during the pandemic led corporate bond fund managers to take more risks, affecting market stability.

    SSRNRisk, Credit & BankingFeatured 2×

    1cites
  92. 28 Dec 2025

    ESG Impact on Stock Prices

    The paper reveals that green firms experience smaller stock price declines than brown firms when interest rates rise due to sustainability preferences.

    SSRNMacro-Finance & RatesFeatured 2×

    543shares
  93. 28 Dec 2025

    Tail Risk-Managed Portfolio Strategies

    It develops real-time Tail Risk-Managed portfolios that minimize tail risks and enhance risk-return profiles compared to standard strategies.

    SSRNPortfolio & AllocationFeatured 2×

    440shares
  94. 28 Dec 2025

    Sample Size Issues in Finance Research

    The study promotes the use of Bayesian statistics in finance to better analyze large AI-generated datasets and mitigate misleading significance from traditional methods.

    SSRNEconometrics & ForecastingFeatured 2×

    300shares
  95. 19 Dec 2025

    Myopic Stock Pricing

    US. stock analysts' short-term focus leads to inaccurate price predictions due to varying expectations over different time frames.

    SSRNOtherFeatured 2×

    518shares
  96. 19 Dec 2025

    The Cross-Section of Factor Returns

    Most of the 150 equity factors examined show positive returns but fail to deliver excess returns after accounting for risk, especially in downturns.

    SSRNAsset Pricing & FactorsFeatured 2×

    7cites
  97. 19 Dec 2025

    Romania's Roadmap to a Greener Financial System: An analysis of Environmental, Social and Governance Reporting on the Bucharest Exchange Trading Index

    Romania struggles to attract sustainable investments because its major companies have low transparency and high greenhouse gas emissions.

    SSRNTrading, Microstructure & ExecutionFeatured 2×

    3cites
  98. 19 Dec 2025

    Financial Instruments for Decarbonization: Likely Pathways for the Romanian Economy

    The study highlights key financial tools in Romania, like green bonds and loans, which can help transition to a low-carbon economy, with banks playing a major role.

    SSRNRisk, Credit & BankingFeatured 2×

    1cites
  99. 19 Dec 2025

    Asymptotic Expansions for High-Frequency Option Data

    A new method for analyzing financial data helps test for sudden volatility changes, with evidence from SP500 options indicating significant variation.

    SSRNDerivatives & VolatilityFeatured 2×

    2cites
  100. 1 Dec 2025

    Satellite Census for Climate Risk in Housing

    The article suggests using open-source satellite data to map residential buildings worldwide, aiming to evaluate their vulnerability to climate risks and their environmental effects.

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