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SSRNTrading, Microstructure & Execution

Market Attention and Information Quality in On-Chain Prediction Markets: Evidence from Polymarket

On-chain prediction market analysis finds 68.2 percent of volume sits in well-calibrated markets with average seven-day pricing error of 0.03.

Featured in No. 133 on 2 Oct 2026 · 2 days after release

Released
30 Sep 2026
First featured
No. 133 · 2 Oct 2026
Published in
Not yet, as far as Semantic Scholar knows
Fanfare
2 of 5
Identifier
SSRN 7540819
Authors
Davide Mancino et al.

Citations and venue from Semantic Scholar (ODC-BY), refreshed weekly. Summary: Quant Letter (CC BY 4.0).

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