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Why Most Stocks Underperform the Index: Idiosyncratic Variance Drag and the Geometry of Compounding

A lognormal model shows that individual stocks carry an idiosyncratic variance penalty making most underperform the index, with about one-third beating the market over five years.

Featured in No. 133 on 2 Oct 2026 · 1 day after release

Released
1 Oct 2026
First featured
No. 133 · 2 Oct 2026
Published in
Not yet, as far as Semantic Scholar knows
Fanfare
3 of 5
Identifier
SSRN 7546579
Authors
Gabriele Susinno

Citations and venue from Semantic Scholar (ODC-BY), refreshed weekly. Summary: Quant Letter (CC BY 4.0).

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