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SSRNEconometrics & Forecasting

Market History, Rebuilt A Reproducible Synthetic U.S. Total-Return Dataset for Leverage and Duration Research ChemicalStats • Anonymous Risk Researcher

A new 234-year synthetic total-return dataset for equities and Treasuries reveals that permanent 3× leverage faces near-total loss in most reconstructions, ranking below 2× on risk-adjusted returns.

Featured in No. 133 on 2 Oct 2026 · 4 days after release

Released
28 Sep 2026
First featured
No. 133 · 2 Oct 2026
Published in
Not yet, as far as Semantic Scholar knows
Fanfare
2 of 5
Identifier
SSRN 7527762
Authors
ChemicalStats Von der Mauerstrasse

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