SSRNTrading, Microstructure & Execution
Scoring Informed Trading in Prediction Markets: A Likelihood Ratio Framework
A likelihood-ratio framework ranks wallets by their information content in binary prediction markets, separating ranking from multiple testing and validating the method through simulation.
Featured in No. 138 on 6 Nov 2026 · 6 days after release
- Released
- 31 Oct 2026
- First featured
- No. 138 · 6 Nov 2026
- Published in
- Not yet, as far as Semantic Scholar knows
- Fanfare
- 2 of 5
- Identifier
- SSRN 7670998
- Authors
- Ahura Azadi
Citations and venue from Semantic Scholar (ODC-BY), refreshed weekly. Summary: Quant Letter (CC BY 4.0).