---
title: Market Attention and Information Quality in On-Chain Prediction Markets: Evidence from Polymarket
url: https://www.ml-quant.com/papers/ssrn/7540819/
site: ML-Quant (https://www.ml-quant.com)
updated: 2026-10-02
license: Summaries CC BY 4.0; links go to the original sources
index: https://www.ml-quant.com/llms.txt
identifier: SSRN 7540819
source_url: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=7540819
featured: 2026-10-02
citations: unknown
topic: Trading, Microstructure & Execution
---


# Market Attention and Information Quality in On-Chain Prediction Markets: Evidence from Polymarket

On-chain prediction market analysis finds 68.2 percent of volume sits in well-calibrated markets with average seven-day pricing error of 0.03.

- Source: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=7540819
- Identifier: SSRN 7540819
- Released: 2026-09-30
- First featured: Quant Letter No. 133 (2026-10-02): https://www.ml-quant.com/issues/2026-10-02/
- Citations (Semantic Scholar): not tracked
- Published in: not yet
- Topic: Trading, Microstructure & Execution
- Authors: Davide Mancino, Hasret Ozan Sevim, Luca Pennella, Huy Hoang Le

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