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The Options-Implied Information Content for Cross-Asset Return and Volatility Prediction: Evidence from 3.8 Billion Option Contracts

Using 3.8 billion option contracts, the study finds implied kurtosis predicts five-day returns with 2.33 Sharpe ratio and improves volatility forecasting by 23.3 percent.

Featured in No. 136 on 23 Oct 2026 · 3 days after release

Released
20 Oct 2026
First featured
No. 136 · 23 Oct 2026
Published in
Not yet, as far as Semantic Scholar knows
Fanfare
4 of 5
Identifier
SSRN 7626643
Authors
Simon-pierre Boucher

Citations and venue from Semantic Scholar (ODC-BY), refreshed weekly. Summary: Quant Letter (CC BY 4.0).

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