ML-QuantSubscribe

SSRNDerivatives & Volatility

Candlestick Words Improve Intraday Volatility Forecasts Beyond HAR and GARCH

Encoding intraday bars as descriptive words adds 1.7 to 3.7 points of out-of-sample R² to standard volatility models after spikes but shows no edge on daily bars.

Featured in No. 136 on 23 Oct 2026 · 3 days after release

Released
20 Oct 2026
First featured
No. 136 · 23 Oct 2026
Published in
Not yet, as far as Semantic Scholar knows
Fanfare
3 of 5
Identifier
SSRN 7621579
Authors
Jeremia Passmore

Citations and venue from Semantic Scholar (ODC-BY), refreshed weekly. Summary: Quant Letter (CC BY 4.0).

    Type to search. Try rough volatility, LLM agents or FinGPT.

    ↑↓ move↵ openesc closeFull search page