SSRNEconometrics & Forecasting
What do Earnings Prediction Markets Know?
Polymarket earnings contracts incrementally improve forecasts by incorporating public information missed by analysts, though only in the final trading day before announcements.
Featured in No. 137 on 30 Oct 2026 · on release day
- Released
- 30 Oct 2026
- First featured
- No. 137 · 30 Oct 2026
- Published in
- Not yet, as far as Semantic Scholar knows
- Fanfare
- 3 of 5
- Identifier
- SSRN 7667338
- Authors
- Tengfei Zhang
Citations and venue from Semantic Scholar (ODC-BY), refreshed weekly. Summary: Quant Letter (CC BY 4.0).