RePEcML & AI Methods
The Macroeconomic Effect of AI: Sizing the Software Engineering Channel
Using stock market data to measure AI's effect on software engineering productivity, the study estimates AI raised expected productivity by 32.6% and GDP by 3.6% to 6.5% through end-2025.
Featured in No. 136 on 23 Oct 2026 · 11 days after release

- Released
- 12 Oct 2026
- First featured
- No. 136 · 23 Oct 2026
- Published in
- Not yet, as far as Semantic Scholar knows
- Fanfare
- 4 of 5
- Identifier
- RePEc:nbr:nberwo:35793
- Authors
- Alex Blumenfeld et al.
Citations and venue from Semantic Scholar (ODC-BY), refreshed weekly. Summary: Quant Letter (CC BY 4.0).