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RePEcML & AI Methods

Multilingual Textual Signals and Realized Volatility Forecasting: A Hybrid Transformer-HAR-X Approach Applied to the S&P 500 and the MASI

A hybrid FinBERT-HAR-X framework using multilingual news reduces S&P 500 volatility forecast error by 21% and improves realized Sharpe ratios out of sample.

Featured in No. 138 on 6 Nov 2026 · 4 days after release

Out-of-sample cumulative performance of allocation strategies comparing HAR-X variants from 2022-2024.
Figure 11 : Performance cumulée hors-échantillon des stratégies d’allocation (2023-2024)
Released
2 Nov 2026
First featured
No. 138 · 6 Nov 2026
Published in
Not yet, as far as Semantic Scholar knows
Fanfare
3 of 5
Identifier
RePEc:hal:journl:hal-05723648
Authors
Sara Boughanou and Adil El Marhoum

Citations and venue from Semantic Scholar (ODC-BY), refreshed weekly. Summary: Quant Letter (CC BY 4.0).

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