Pricing and Hedging Framework
The article presents a novel approach to pricing and hedging derivatives in a seamless market, even without a local martingale measure, and introduces a new superhedging duality for American options.
3 sharesSource ↗
Quant LetterNo. 77
144 items across 10 sections, as sent to readers on 4 December 2024. Paper titles open their ML-Quant page; ↗ goes to the source.
Quantitative-finance and ML-for-finance preprints from arXiv.
14 items
The article presents a novel approach to pricing and hedging derivatives in a seamless market, even without a local martingale measure, and introduces a new superhedging duality for American options.
3 sharesSource ↗
The article suggests a comprehensive framework for time-consistent portfolio selection, demonstrating the existence and uniqueness of a solution for the integral equation under certain conditions.
2 shares3 citations todaySource ↗
The article investigates the relationship between self-protection and insurance demand, indicating that while they usually complement each other, moral hazard can turn this into a substitution effect.
2 shares3 citations todaySource ↗
The paper suggests a new method for valuing private data, improving current data market systems and providing ways to acquire both general and specific data.
3 shares1 citation todaySource ↗
The study presents risk models for a portfolio of interconnected risks, utilizing tree-based Markov random fields with Poisson distributions, and offers techniques for evaluating and distributing the portfolio's overall risk.
2 sharesSource ↗
The article presents a solution to the liquidation issue in decentralized finance (DeFi) by framing it as an ergodic optimal control problem. It offers optimal liquidation strategies and validates their efficiency through numerical simulations.
3 sharesSource ↗
The article suggests a novel solution to the multi-asset payoff spanning issue using one-hidden-layer feedforward neural networks, improving hedging results with vanilla basket options.
17 shares4 citations todaySource ↗
The study argues that the equally weighted portfolio is inferior to the mean-variance portfolio, extending the result of an alpha-weight angle from unconstrained quadratic portfolio optimisations having an upper bound dependent on the covariance matrix's condition number.
16 sharesSource ↗
The paper introduces an automated machine learning framework to improve supply chain security by detecting fraud, predicting maintenance needs, and forecasting material backorders, thereby increasing accuracy rates and operational efficiency.
8 shares11 citations todaySource ↗
The study introduces a new model, PfoTGNRec, for stock recommendation systems that balances customer preferences with suggesting high ROI portfolios, showing superior performance on real-world individual trading data.
7 shares10 citations todaySource ↗
InvestESG is a new benchmark using advanced learning to study the effects of ESG disclosure mandates on corporate climate investments, indicating that ESG-aware investors can boost corporate cooperation and mitigate climate risks.
6 shares3 citations todaySource ↗
A study using Spanish data shows a significant rise in the proportion of low-value transactions in international trade, due to the growth of e-commerce, online retail platforms, and fast-fashion strategies.
5 shares4 citations todaySource ↗
A system of fixed-point equations for equilibrium transfers in matching models with linear transferable utility has been developed, demonstrating that fixed-point iterations will converge to a unique distribution of equilibrium transfers when substitution between alternatives is limited.
4 sharesSource ↗
A new architecture, MSGCA, has been introduced to integrate multimodal input for stock movement prediction, surpassing existing methods by up to 31.6% on four multimodal datasets due to its improved fusion stability.
3 shares26 citations todaySource ↗
Working papers in finance and economics from SSRN.
22 items
The article investigates how Lebanese entrepreneurs utilize storytelling and cultural capital to aid the growth and global expansion of their small businesses, especially in tackling the difficulties of initial internationalization, as demonstrated through eight case studies.
3 sharesSource ↗
The article highlights Geoffrey Hinton's key contributions to neural networks, including backpropagation, deep learning, and Capsule Networks, and their impact on current AI applications.
224 sharesSource ↗
The study reveals a lack of transparency in predictive machine learning studies in top business and economic journals, leading to fewer citations due to inadequate benchmarking against traditional statistical models.
15 sharesSource ↗
The research suggests that simple forecasts can effectively stabilize volatility in the SP 500 and Treasury bills, proving viable even with realistic trading costs and constraints.
6 sharesSource ↗
The article discusses the potential of Big Data analytics in improving risk management in IT service delivery through real-time risk identification, assessment, and mitigation.
2 sharesSource ↗
The study proposes a semi-parametric data-driven decision-making framework for inventory and financial hedging of new products, using proxy return factors to infer derivatives returns and demand-return relationships.
4 sharesSource ↗
The article discusses the use of high-frequency data and spectral clustering algorithms to identify similar assets for statistical arbitrage strategies across various asset classes.
7 sharesSource ↗
The paper evaluates the application of different machine learning frameworks to improve prediction accuracy and uncertainty in multiphase flow in oil and gas production.
6 sharesSource ↗
The research explores the key success factors in risk management practices in the Nigerian banking system from 1960 to now, using interviews and questionnaires.
6 sharesSource ↗
The study examines the relationship between alpha-attractor quintessential inflation, inflationary observables, and dark energy equation parameters, using data from various astronomical sources.
5 sharesSource ↗
The article investigates the effectiveness of machine learning algorithms in predicting the success of merger and acquisition deals, finding that nonlinear models predict post-deal returns well, but not post-acquisition earnings.
3 sharesSource ↗
The article explains how the relationship between assets can predict returns through equilibrium pricing effects. It also discusses how the returns of certain assets can forecast the returns of investment assets, without requiring additional information or adjustments.
2 sharesSource ↗
The article discusses the challenges of trendfollowing investment strategies, suggesting replication of a broad index of such funds as a solution, but warns of regression-based replication risks.
205 sharesSource ↗
The study reviews the use of machine learning in portfolio management, discussing its limitations, future prospects, and applications in various trading strategies and portfolio optimization.
8 sharesSource ↗
The research justifies significant allocations to hedge funds due to their diversification benefits, but cautions that optimal allocations are highly dependent on alpha assumptions.
7 sharesSource ↗
The paper highlights the role of collateralized debt obligations with asset-backed securities in the distress of large commercial banks during the 2007-2009 crisis, due to the Recourse Rule.
62 sharesSource ↗
The study shows that design choices in machine learning models for predicting stock returns can greatly affect their performance, with nonstandard error exceeding standard error by 59%, and provides model design recommendations.
12 shares5 citations todaySource ↗
A study reveals that US banks increased their interest rate risk in 2022-23 due to rapid rate changes and reluctance to sell bonds at a discount, especially those with unrealized losses.
6 sharesSource ↗
A comparison study of Large Language Models (LLMs) for time series forecasting found TimeGPT effective in stable environments, while KAN and PatchTST performed well in complex data scenarios.
21 sharesSource ↗
An analysis of over 23,000 equity mutual funds and ETFs found that sustainability statements in fund prospectuses, not external ratings, primarily drive retail and institutional fund flows.
22 sharesSource ↗
A study-developed dynamic model of index investing shows that sentiment from index investors affects all other index stocks, leading to higher, more volatile prices, stronger negative price autocorrelation, and increased trading volume.
4 sharesSource ↗
Private video game companies receiving private equity investment generally outperform public markets and other private equity deals, making them attractive investment opportunities, according to an analysis by StepStone.
2 sharesSource ↗
Economics working papers from RePEc's NEP field reports.
23 items
A new low-frequency trading model, using volume data and price indicators, has achieved over 90% success rate and 15.1% annual return, surpassing previous models.
19 sharesSource ↗
A study on the Turkish Stock Exchange from 2009-2020 found that the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) better predicts average excess weekly returns than the Fama-French models.
14 sharesSource ↗
A comparison study found that the Fama-French seven-factor model is more effective than the five-factor model in predicting returns on Indonesian property and real estate stocks, which can also hedge against inflation and interest rates.
14 sharesSource ↗
The study uses Entropy CRITIC IDDWS and PROMETHEE methods to create an optimal stock portfolio from BIST Retail Trade Sector firms for 2022-2023, highlighting six companies as the most efficient.
14 sharesSource ↗
The research analyzes the performance of Portuguese mutual funds investing in local and global equities from 2005-2022, revealing that fund age and expense ratios significantly affect performance.
13 sharesSource ↗
The article explores the correlation in gross capital inflows and outflows in emerging and developing economies, discovering that a common global factor largely influences capital flow variations, but domestic factors can also impact sensitivity to global factors.
13 sharesSource ↗
The DLWR-LSTM model has been created to enhance the precision of stock index predictions in the Shanghai Stock Exchange, achieving a prediction error rate of about 1%.
15 sharesSource ↗
A forecasting model for real estate stock returns and risks shows that German real estate stocks are more affected by economic and stock market changes than the real estate market, and carry less risk than regular stocks.
13 sharesSource ↗
An extended analysis of Kaplanski's work reveals that arbitrage activity after identifying cross-sectional anomalies alters returns, indicating long-term profitability for arbitrageurs and suggesting mispricing due to investor behavior biases.
12 sharesSource ↗
The research suggests symmetric and asymmetric trading algorithms are profitable in stablecoin markets, with asymmetric algorithms performing better in over or undervalued markets.
31 sharesSource ↗
The research expands the use of a volatility prediction framework using LSTM and rough volatility, demonstrating its superiority over traditional models in predicting cryptocurrency volatility.
27 sharesSource ↗
Linear vs. Nonlinear Models: The research compares linear and nonlinear machine learning models in forecasting global stock market volatility, concluding that simpler models without extra predictors are more effective for monthly forecasts.
22 sharesSource ↗
The research explores the possibility of automating data preparation for machine learning by enhancing data warehouse architecture, due to their process similarities.
21 sharesSource ↗
The research applies an unsupervised machine learning algorithm to extract risk factors from corporate disclosures, revealing that most risk factors decrease return volatility, offering valuable financial market insights.
19 sharesSource ↗
A new economic uncertainty index, created using machine learning, can effectively predict stock market returns, especially during times of high uncertainty.
18 sharesSource ↗
Logistic Regression was found to be the most reliable machine learning model for predicting China's business cycle using 62 economic and financial indicators.
18 sharesSource ↗
Machine learning, combined with economic data, can improve risk analysis during stress tests, especially in simulating equity capital ratio distributions for major banks.
17 sharesSource ↗
Machine learning can enhance cash demand forecasting and inventory performance, as shown in a study involving six branches of Deutsche Bundesbank.
13 sharesSource ↗
Machine learning has been used to study the effect of dollarization on Turkey's monetary policy, showing a slight impact on economic growth and a possible positive link with financial deepening.
13 sharesSource ↗
The article suggests using a one-dimensional Pointwise Convolutional Autoencoder and Shapley Additive Explanations feature for index tracking. This method outperforms other stock selection strategies in different financial markets.
17 sharesSource ↗
The study finds logistic regression more efficient than decision tree models in identifying defaulted loans in Central Credit Information System data.
4 sharesSource ↗
The research suggests that the future of marketing lies in the successful integration of data and creativity, driven by artificial intelligence.
2 sharesSource ↗
The paper focuses on the influence of AI, particularly the chatbot ChatGPT, on education and the job market, based on a survey of Romanian corporate employees.
0 sharesSource ↗
The general machine-learning papers the letter carried in 2023-25.
20 items
3D Reconstruction from Videos: AlphaTablets is a new 3D plane representation that merges the advantages of 2D and 3D models, providing accurate 3D plane modeling and superior performance in 3D planar reconstruction.
26 shares7 citations todaySource ↗
Enhancing Reasoning: The cDPO method identifies and rewards 'critical tokens' that cause incorrect reasoning in Large Language Models, showing effectiveness in two popular models.
9 shares89 citations todaySource ↗
The Chen and Chen estimator balances robustness and statistical efficiency in machine learning models, making it the top choice for prediction-based inference.
8 shares9 citations todaySource ↗
Modeling Scenes: The C^3-NeRF framework can incorporate multiple 3D scenes into a single neural radiance field, showing the ability to adapt to new scenes without needing old data or extra parameters.
8 sharesSource ↗
Membership Inference Attacks: LUMIA, a new method, uses Linear Probes to detect Membership Inference Attacks in Large Language Models, showing significant improvements over previous methods and providing insights into where attacks are most detectable.
6 shares11 citations todaySource ↗
The T2Vid method, developed by researchers, uses pre-trained image-LLMs to enhance video understanding, performing as well or better than full video datasets with only 15% of the sample size.
6 sharesSource ↗
A new hybrid framework has been proposed for modeling clothed humans, using different strategies for various body regions, resulting in superior visual fidelity and realism.
6 shares3 citations todaySource ↗
A method for deducing deterministic context-free L-systems from a string sequence has been introduced, providing both a classical exact algorithm and an approximate quantum algorithm.
5 sharesSource ↗
The study presents PINN4PF, a deep learning structure for power flow analysis that effectively captures the nonlinear dynamics of large-scale modern power systems, surpassing both linear regression models and black-box NN.
4 shares6 citations todaySource ↗
The paper explores domain adaptation of multimodal large language models through post-training, focusing on data synthesis, training pipelines, and task evaluation, resulting in improved domain-specific performance.
4 shares14 citations todaySource ↗
Image Conditioning: The article introduces OminiControl, a new framework that enhances pre-trained Diffusion Transformer models by integrating image conditions, resulting in improved conditional generation.
264 shares370 citations todaySource ↗
Structured Generation: The authors present XGrammar, a new engine for large language models that significantly speeds up context-free grammar execution, outperforming existing solutions by up to 100 times.
146 shares91 citations todaySource ↗
The study suggests that the accuracy of weaker language models cannot be indefinitely improved through inference scaling due to an unavoidable probability of false positives.
142 shares45 citations todaySource ↗
The paper explores the reliability of hyper-parameter selection in value-based deep reinforcement learning agents, introducing a new score to measure the consistency and reliability of different hyper-parameters.
83 shares23 citations todaySource ↗
The authors lay the groundwork for the dual propagation method, a local learning algorithm for artificial neurons, and highlight its stability in relation to a specific adjoint state method, regardless of asymmetric nudging.
67 shares3 citations todaySource ↗
The 4D Motion Scaffolds (MoSca) system uses vision models to create new views of dynamic scenes from single-view videos.
51 shares194 citations todaySource ↗
Enhancing Visual Representation: Large language models are integrated with the pretrained CLIP visual encoder, enhancing its ability to process complex captions.
39 shares9 citations todaySource ↗
A new Gaussian appearance representation is proposed, using texture maps to improve the expressivity of 3D Gaussian Splatting.
32 shares48 citations todaySource ↗
Diffusion Self-Distillation uses a pre-trained model to generate its own dataset for text-conditioned image-to-image tasks, offering more control for artists.
27 shares57 citations todaySource ↗
Video-Guided Sound Generation: MultiFoley, a new model for video-guided sound generation, allows users to create a variety of sound effects for videos using text, audio, and video inputs.
26 shares62 citations todaySource ↗
Papers that shipped their code, from the Papers with Code feed (2023-25).
9 items
The article presents a new method for relighting human portraits using a physics-guided architecture and pretraining framework.
6,066 shares
The article highlights the issues of cost and slow speed when using Transformer-based Large Language Models on long sequences due to the self-attention mechanism's complexity.
167 shares
The article describes the use of labeled data to train a reward model that mimics human judgment and assesses the proactiveness of Large Language Model agents.
135 shares
The article introduces streamx algorithms, a new type of deep RL algorithms that surpass the stream barrier for both prediction and control, equalling the sample efficiency of batch RL.
133 shares
The article discusses the process of training large neural networks, which involves sharing gradients between accelerators using high-speed interconnects.
98 shares
Monaural Speech Separation: The piece introduces MossFormer, a system that uses a combined local and global self-attention architecture to handle indirect elemental interactions in a dual-path structure.
73 shares
Autonomous RetrievalAugmented Generation: The article explains iterative retrieval, a method where a model repeatedly queries a retriever to enhance the relevance of retrieved knowledge, thus improving Retrieval-Augmented Generation performance.
65 shares
Multimodal LLM for Perception and Understanding: The piece discusses the creation of a fully automated data engine used to construct the Rexverse2M dataset, which offers multiple granularities for joint training of perception and understanding.
54 shares
The article describes a two-model system where the larger model generates low-frequency content at smaller scales, and the smaller model refines and predicts high-frequency details at larger scales.
39 shares
Repositories the letter featured.
10 items
The article offers an updated compilation of resources for algorithmic trading, including open-source tools, books, and learning materials.
187 shares
The article provides a tutorial on building and training Neural Networks using Mojo.
211 shares
The article showcases research papers focusing on AI and quantitative investment.
85 shares
The article details a new method for time series forecasting using PyTorch, as presented at NeurIPS 2024.
59 shares
Model Context Protocol Servers outlines the structure and operation of protocol servers within a model context.
1,791 shares
Generic collection utils for Go discusses a set of utility tools designed for the Go programming language.
66 shares
The opensource alert management and AIOps platform examines an open-source platform for alert management and AI operations.
6,263 shares
A course on aligning smol models presents a course on the alignment of small-scale models.
838 shares
Cryptography is a package designed to expose cryptographic primitives and recipes to Python developers describes a cryptography package for Python developers offering basic cryptographic functions.
6,701 shares
Industry news: funds, hiring, markets and regulation.
20 items
Permutable AI has introduced the first generative AI-powered API for commodities trading to improve trading desk functions.
6 shares
DX the first MiFID-regulated crypto futures and options exchange, has been launched to increase institutional adoption of digital assets via a secure platform.
6 shares
Metage Capital, an activist investment firm, is pressuring HarbourVest Global Private Equity to address its share price discount through quarterly render offers or a £3.4bn portfolio liquidation.
5 shares
Quantitative hedge funds such as Qube Research, Squarepoint Capital, and Engineers Gate are increasingly incorporating human traders into their computer-driven strategies, Business Insider reports.
5 shares
Metalayer, a company established by Two Sigma Ventures veterans, has filed with the SEC to initiate a $25m cryptocurrency investment fund, according to Fortune.
4 shares
Wells Fargo reports that hedge fund assets reached a record $4.5tn in October, driven by a strong performance and a 7.4 YTD return in the HFRI Fund Weighted Composite Index.
4 shares
CoinShares' report shows that digital asset investment products received inflows of $270m last week, bringing the total for the year to a record $37.3bn.
3 shares
CoinDesk research reveals that Pantera Capital Management's Bitcoin Fund has seen a 1000-fold return on its original investments since its 2013 inception.
3 shares
Financial News reports that Pythagoras Investments is closing its flagship Absolute Return Fund to new capital early next year due to a surge in performance attracting significant investor interest.
3 shares
Bloomberg and DTCC data indicate that hedge funds are increasingly shorting the euro against the yen due to speculation of a Bank of Japan interest rate hike and European political uncertainty.
3 shares
Kaizen Capital Partners' founder, Ramesh Karthigesu, is shutting down his Asia-focused hedge fund to join Millennium Management.
3 shares
Millennium Management is allocating around $3.3bn to two new trading teams to broaden its talent pool.
3 shares
Navatar Group has introduced a new platform to assist traders in utilizing sell-side intelligence gathered from their dealings with bank and brokerage sales teams.
2 shares
Prop trading secrecy: The article highlights the top workplaces in London, New York, and Singapore.
2 shares
The article identifies the universities that are favored by Citadel Securities for recruitment purposes.
2 shares
OSTTRA and FIS Global are collaborating to enhance transparency in the post-trade process of exchange-traded derivatives.
2 shares
Lanxess' stock value increased by 10% following Greenlight Capital's acquisition of a 5% stake in the German chemical firm.
2 shares
There is a high demand for FPGA engineers in the current job market.
1 shares
Paloma Partners is using a mix of cash and IOUs to fulfill investor withdrawal requests due to a spike in redemptions.
1 shares
The Managed Funds Association has recommended the European Commission not to impose a standard regulatory framework on non-bank financial intermediaries.
0 shares
Episodes on markets, quant methods and economics.
10 items
Alex Shahidi of Evoke Advisors talks about risk parity investing as a method to manage growth and inflation risks across different economic situations and asset types, questioning traditional investment approaches.
18 shares
Andrew O'Connell narrates his transition from a tennis enthusiast to a successful trader, emphasizing the need to control personal biases and maintain mental strength in trading.
14 shares
Doug Peta from BCA Research explores the possible shift from economic growth to recession, the effects of Federal Reserve and Congress policies, and the need for caution during uncertain periods.
9 shares
The episode covers current market instability, the use of 0dte options by advisors, the introduction of the first daily options ETF, and the influence of earnings season volatility on the market.
8 shares
Laks Ganapathi from Unicus Research shares strategies for dealing with high-traffic stocks affected by Reddit and AI trends, the significance of management quality in investing, and the potential effects of political shifts on the economy.
7 shares
Professor Carol Alexander shares her insights on quantitative finance, cryptocurrencies, and her work at the Exponential Science Foundation on the QuantSpeak podcast.
5 shares
The podcast delves into the role of mathematics in investment strategies, the irrationality of human investment behavior, and provides career advice for aspiring industry professionals.
5 shares
The podcast examines the effects of Trump-era trade tariffs on global markets, the significance of agricultural subsidies, and China's impact on global commodities.
5 shares
The podcast explores the influence of a strong US dollar on tech giants like Microsoft and Apple, and the strategies of the US Treasury under Janet Yellen.
5 shares
David Kostin and Owen Lamont from Goldman Sachs Research discuss the high concentration in the US equity market and address investor concerns on the podcast.
5 shares
Posts from quant researchers on X.
10 items
The article explores how short interest data can predict stock and market returns, offering valuable insights for investors.
3 shares
The newsletter summarizes last week's research on quant investing, discussing topics such as US dollar drivers, equities, hedge fund returns, and forecasting errors.
2 shares
The article shows that commodity prices can forecast exchange rate returns for commodity-dependent currencies, particularly during times of high FX volatility.
2 shares
The study demonstrates that using plots can improve multimodal models' ability to interpret complex time-series data.
1 shares
The article indicates that stocks that drop during the day often rebound in the final 30 minutes of trading due to increased retail dip buying and less selling pressure from short sellers.
1 shares
The article provides a weekly roundup of the latest insights from academic research, blogs, and podcasts on investing and trading.
1 shares
The article explores strategies to strengthen the short-term reversal effect in trading, including focusing on industry-relative returns and avoiding news.
1 shares
The article delves into the Quantitative Momentum Philosophy, a trading strategy developed by Wes Gray and Jack Vogel.
1 shares
The article suggests a top resource for understanding and implementing Algorithmic Trading.
0 shares
The article examines the use of flow-matching and rectified flow models in generative AI applications, drawing parallels with the flow of water in a river.
0 shares
Threads from r/quant, r/algotrading and friends.
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