---
title: The Liberation Day Tariff Dollar Puzzle: Equity Rotation, Not Flight from Treasuries
url: https://www.ml-quant.com/papers/ssrn/7684058/
site: ML-Quant (https://www.ml-quant.com)
updated: 2026-11-14
license: Summaries CC BY 4.0; links go to the original sources
index: https://www.ml-quant.com/llms.txt
identifier: SSRN 7684058
source_url: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=7684058
featured: 2026-11-13
citations: unknown
topic: Macro-Finance & Rates
---


# The Liberation Day Tariff Dollar Puzzle: Equity Rotation, Not Flight from Treasuries

The dollar depreciated after U.S. tariff announcements not from treasury flight but from equity rotation from domestic to foreign stocks, revealed by fund flow analysis.

- Source: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=7684058
- Identifier: SSRN 7684058
- Released: 2026-11-13
- First featured: Quant Letter No. 139 (2026-11-13): https://www.ml-quant.com/issues/2026-11-13/
- Citations (Semantic Scholar): not tracked
- Published in: not yet
- Topic: Macro-Finance & Rates
- Authors: Rashad Ahmed, Jonathan Hartley, Alessandro Rebucci

## Related

- [What Volatility Reveals: Agnostic Identification of Exchange Rate and Treasury-Market Dynamics in Inconvenient Times](https://www.ml-quant.com/papers/repec/bde-wpaper-2629e/): Volatility and kurtosis reveal that dollar depreciation and rising Treasury yields reflect multiple distinct shocks rather than a single tariff announcement shock.
- [Impact of Tariff Wars on Global Economy](https://www.ml-quant.com/papers/doi/10-11648-j-ajmse-20251001-12/): The paper introduces an algorithm for creating fair trade relations based on a world trade model, aiming to prevent tariff wars and discussing the impact of tariff restrictions on trade prices and recession.
- [Tariffs and Inflation Effects](https://www.ml-quant.com/papers/ssrn/5206224/): A study investigates the macroeconomic effects of President Trump's Liberation Day tariffs, particularly their impact on inflation expectations, capital investment, and output.
- [Causes of failure of the Phillips curve: Does tranquillity of economic environment matter?](https://www.ml-quant.com/papers/arxiv/2511.22785/): This paper examines the Phillips relationship, noting it works in developed nations but fails during recessions, emphasizing the need for economic stability for the theory to be valid.
- [Regime Changes and Real-Financial Cycles: Searching Minsky's Hypothesis in a Nonlinear Setting](https://www.ml-quant.com/papers/arxiv/2511.04348/): A nonlinear model finds Minsky‑style boom–bust cycles tied to corporate debt in most countries and to interest rates everywhere, with household‑debt effects only in the US and UK — highlighting regime shifts.
- [Topology of Currencies: Persistent Homology for FX Co-movements: A Comparative Clustering Study](https://www.ml-quant.com/papers/arxiv/2510.19306/): Topological Data Analysis finds clearer, more separated currency clusters than traditional methods, revealing co-movement patterns useful for risk management.
