---
title: Across the Capital Structure: Bond Signals and Equity Returns *
url: https://www.ml-quant.com/papers/ssrn/7527218/
site: ML-Quant (https://www.ml-quant.com)
updated: 2026-10-02
license: Summaries CC BY 4.0; links go to the original sources
index: https://www.ml-quant.com/llms.txt
identifier: SSRN 7527218
source_url: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=7527218
featured: 2026-10-02
citations: unknown
topic: Asset Pricing & Factors
---


# Across the Capital Structure: Bond Signals and Equity Returns *

Signals extracted from corporate bond portfolios predict next-month equity returns of same issuers at 21 basis points higher after controlling for stock characteristics.

- Source: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=7527218
- Identifier: SSRN 7527218
- Released: 2026-09-28
- First featured: Quant Letter No. 133 (2026-10-02): https://www.ml-quant.com/issues/2026-10-02/
- Citations (Semantic Scholar): not tracked
- Published in: not yet
- Topic: Asset Pricing & Factors
- Authors: Jun Kyung Auh, Woojung Kim

## Related

- [The Cross-Section of Corporate Bond Returns](https://www.ml-quant.com/papers/ssrn/5130312/): A study of U.S. corporate bonds identifies four factors that provide strong return premiums after costs.
- [Machine Learning and the Cross-Section of Emerging Market Corporate Bond Returns](https://www.ml-quant.com/papers/ssrn/4632924/): Machine learning models considering nonlinearities and interactions offer better predictions of corporate bond behavior in emerging markets with high transaction costs, with key predictors tied to low-risk macro and momentum factors.
- [Corporate bond pricing in the AI era](https://www.ml-quant.com/papers/repec/bdi-opques-qef-1057-26/): Using ChatGPT's launch as a natural experiment, the paper finds that hyperscalers saw borrowing costs decline while software firms faced worse terms as debt markets repriced AI winners and losers.
- [Pricing Risk Globally: Intermediary Constraints, the Dollar, and the Global Financial Cycle](https://www.ml-quant.com/papers/repec/fip-fedgif-103716/): A two-country model shows that uncertainty shocks tighten intermediary constraints, widening credit spreads, appreciating the dollar, and raising currency risk premia globally.
- [Common Risk Factors in the Returns on Stocks, Bonds (and Options), Redux](https://www.ml-quant.com/papers/repec/nbr-nberwo-35579/): The research identifies common risk factors spanning stocks, corporate bonds, and options linked to economic indicators, revealing significant market segmentation and cross-asset hedging opportunities.
- [Inflation's Impact on Risky Asset Prices](https://www.ml-quant.com/papers/ssrn/5094299/): A study using inflation swap prices shows that inflation sensitivity changes over time, with good inflation decreasing corporate credit spreads and increasing equity values, while bad inflation can have the reverse impact.
