---
title: 150 years of U.S. inflation expectations
url: https://www.ml-quant.com/papers/repec/zbw-qucehw-344109/
site: ML-Quant (https://www.ml-quant.com)
updated: 2026-10-30
license: Summaries CC BY 4.0; links go to the original sources
index: https://www.ml-quant.com/llms.txt
identifier: RePEc:zbw:qucehw:344109
source_url: https://econpapers.repec.org/RePEc:zbw:qucehw:344109
featured: 2026-10-30
citations: unknown
topic: Econometrics & Forecasting
---


# 150 years of U.S. inflation expectations

A narrative intensity measure from New York Times articles since 1870 predicts inflation better than commodity-based measures and reveals that the 1930s deflation was anticipated earlier than consensus suggests.

- Source: https://econpapers.repec.org/RePEc:zbw:qucehw:344109
- Identifier: RePEc:zbw:qucehw:344109
- Released: 2026-10-26
- First featured: Quant Letter No. 137 (2026-10-30): https://www.ml-quant.com/issues/2026-10-30/
- Citations (Semantic Scholar): not tracked
- Published in: not yet
- Topic: Econometrics & Forecasting
- Authors: Iorgulescu, Elissa-Ana-Maria, Kuntara Pukthuanthong, Quinn, William

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