---
title: Commodity Futures Selection
url: https://www.ml-quant.com/papers/repec/wly-jfutmk-v-45-y-2025-i-1-p-3-22/
site: ML-Quant (https://www.ml-quant.com)
updated: 2026-09-26
license: Summaries CC BY 4.0; links go to the original sources
index: https://www.ml-quant.com/llms.txt
identifier: RePEc:wly:jfutmk:v:45:y:2025:i:1:p:3-22
source_url: https://econpapers.repec.org/scripts/redir.pf?u=https%3A%2F%2Fdoi.org%2F10.1002%2Ffut.22550%3Bh%3Drepec%3Awly%3Ajfutmk%3Av%3A45%3Ay%3A2025%3Ai%3A1%3Ap%3A3-22
featured: 2025-01-01
citations: unknown
topic: Portfolio & Allocation
---


# Commodity Futures Selection

The article finds that traditional sample covariance matrix performs better in portfolio selection than both naive allocation and advanced covariance estimators, challenging previous equity-focused studies.

- Source: https://econpapers.repec.org/scripts/redir.pf?u=https%3A%2F%2Fdoi.org%2F10.1002%2Ffut.22550%3Bh%3Drepec%3Awly%3Ajfutmk%3Av%3A45%3Ay%3A2025%3Ai%3A1%3Ap%3A3-22
- Identifier: RePEc:wly:jfutmk:v:45:y:2025:i:1:p:3-22
- Released: 2025-01-01
- First featured: Quant Letter No. 80 (2025-01-01): https://www.ml-quant.com/issues/2025-01-01/
- Citations (Semantic Scholar): not tracked
- Published in: not yet
- Topic: Portfolio & Allocation

## Related

- [Investing in Commodities: A Presentation](https://www.ml-quant.com/papers/ssrn/5259018/): Hilary Till's presentation at a conference covered the case for commodities, portfolio construction, and risk management in an actively managed commodity program.
- [Commodity Futures Investment Process](https://www.ml-quant.com/papers/ssrn/5286928/): Hilary Till discusses the commodity investment universe, covering topics like investment focus, return rationale, portfolio construction, and risk management.
- [Role of Oil and Gold in Portfolio Optimization](https://www.ml-quant.com/papers/repec/eee-jrpoli-v-92-y-2024-i-c-s0301420724003246/): The study reveals gold as a more effective hedge than oil for Pakistani stocks, particularly after COVID-19, and advises investors to diversify their portfolios.
- [Multi-hypothesis prediction for portfolio optimization: A structured ensemble learning approach to risk diversification](https://www.ml-quant.com/papers/arxiv/2501.03919/): The paper introduces a framework for portfolio allocation that uses multiple hypotheses prediction through structured ensemble models, allowing for control of portfolio diversification before decision-making.
- [An Integral Equation in Portfolio Selection with Time-Inconsistent Preferences](https://www.ml-quant.com/papers/arxiv/2412.02446/): The article suggests a comprehensive framework for time-consistent portfolio selection, demonstrating the existence and uniqueness of a solution for the integral equation under certain conditions.
- [Stock Recommendations for Individual Investors: A Temporal Graph Network Approach with Mean-Variance Efficient Sampling](https://www.ml-quant.com/papers/doi/10-1145-3677052-3698662/): The study introduces a new model, PfoTGNRec, for stock recommendation systems that balances customer preferences with suggesting high ROI portfolios, showing superior performance on real-world individual trading data.
