---
title: A Model of U.S. Monetary Policy and the Global Financial Cycle
url: https://www.ml-quant.com/papers/repec/nbr-nberwo-35902/
site: ML-Quant (https://www.ml-quant.com)
updated: 2026-10-30
license: Summaries CC BY 4.0; links go to the original sources
index: https://www.ml-quant.com/llms.txt
identifier: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:35902
source_url: https://econpapers.repec.org/RePEc:nbr:nberwo:35902
featured: 2026-10-30
citations: unknown
topic: Macro-Finance & Rates
---


# A Model of U.S. Monetary Policy and the Global Financial Cycle

A general equilibrium model shows US monetary tightening erodes currency-mismatched arbitrageurs' wealth, raising global risk premia and generating spillovers to international asset prices.

- Source: https://econpapers.repec.org/RePEc:nbr:nberwo:35902
- Identifier: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:35902
- Released: 2026-10-26
- First featured: Quant Letter No. 137 (2026-10-30): https://www.ml-quant.com/issues/2026-10-30/
- Citations (Semantic Scholar): not tracked
- Published in: not yet
- Topic: Macro-Finance & Rates
- Authors: Rohan Kekre, Moritz Lenel

## Related

- [Empirical Analysis of the Impact of Legal Tender Digital Currency on Monetary Policy -Based on China's Data](https://www.ml-quant.com/papers/arxiv/2310.07326/): The paper suggests that China should develop a more effective monetary policy while promoting Central bank digital currencies, examining their impact on China's monetary policy and money supply multiplier.
- [A Model of Macroeconomic Policies with Endogenously Insurable Exchange Rates](https://www.ml-quant.com/papers/repec/imf-imfwpa-2026-188/): A model shows asymmetric information about monetary policy can make exchange-rate risks uninsurable, generating foreign-exchange premia and opening a case for policy coordination.
- [Exchange Rate Regimes and Term-Premium Spillovers from U.S. Monetary Policy](https://www.ml-quant.com/papers/ssrn/7588778/): U.S. monetary tightening raises term premia sharply in pegged economies but not floating ones; a DSGE model shows pegs force adjustment through domestic rates, tightening leverage constraints and amplifying spillovers.
- [Global Debt, Currency Mismatch, and the Spillovers of U.S. Monetary Policy](https://www.ml-quant.com/papers/ssrn/7541599/): US monetary tightening triggers larger currency depreciation and sovereign stress in emerging markets when global public debt is high and foreign-currency debt exposure is elevated.
- [The Rollover Clock: Debt Maturity, the Central-Bank Balance Sheet, and the Debt Limit of a Reserve-Currency Sovereign](https://www.ml-quant.com/papers/ssrn/7542158/): Rollover clock measurement of consolidated Treasury and central bank liability repricing predicts U.S. Treasury interest rates and prices inflation costs of fiscal deficits.
- [Measuring the Effects of US Unconventional Monetary Policy Surprises on Exchange Rates across Monetary Conditions](https://www.ml-quant.com/papers/repec/dpr-wpaper-1276r/): The research shows that both large-scale asset purchases and forward guidance appreciate foreign currencies against the dollar, with guidance having larger effects, especially during zero lower bound periods.
