---
title: Uncertain Climate Policy and the Role of the Financial Stress Transmission Channel
url: https://www.ml-quant.com/papers/repec/baf-cbafwp-cbafwp26285/
site: ML-Quant (https://www.ml-quant.com)
updated: 2026-10-16
license: Summaries CC BY 4.0; links go to the original sources
index: https://www.ml-quant.com/llms.txt
identifier: RePEc:baf:cbafwp:cbafwp26285
source_url: https://econpapers.repec.org/RePEc:baf:cbafwp:cbafwp26285
featured: 2026-10-16
citations: unknown
topic: Asset Pricing & Factors
---


# Uncertain Climate Policy and the Role of the Financial Stress Transmission Channel

A structural VAR shows climate policy uncertainty depresses equities and raises financial stress through credit channels, creating supply-driven downturns distinct from conventional uncertainty shocks.

- Source: https://econpapers.repec.org/RePEc:baf:cbafwp:cbafwp26285
- Identifier: RePEc:baf:cbafwp:cbafwp26285
- Released: 2026-10-10
- First featured: Quant Letter No. 135 (2026-10-16): https://www.ml-quant.com/issues/2026-10-16/
- Citations (Semantic Scholar): not tracked
- Published in: not yet
- Topic: Asset Pricing & Factors
- Authors: Massimo Guidolin, Serena Ionta

## Related

- [From D&I to D&I: European Capital Markets' Regime Shift from Diversity and Inclusion to Defence and Infrastructure](https://www.ml-quant.com/papers/ssrn/7477998/): European defence stocks repriced sharply starting November 2021, two to three months before Russia's invasion, delivering 26% alpha and reflecting release of ESG-exclusion constraints.
- [Risk Spillovers Among Markets](https://www.ml-quant.com/papers/repec/eee-finlet-v-71-y-2025-i-c-s1544612324013138/): The paper finds that asset price declines are more consistent in extreme market conditions, based on an exploration of dependencies among commodity futures, stock markets, and ESG bond markets.
- [LongRun Disaster Risk Models](https://www.ml-quant.com/papers/ssrn/5013573/): The article reviews literature on long-term risk and rare disaster risk models in asset pricing, introducing new methods to address criticisms and explain the influence of climate change on asset prices.
- [Climate Salience and Green Stock Demand](https://www.ml-quant.com/papers/ssrn/5008435/): Asset managers increase their demand for green stocks after significant climate events, indicating their role in converting environmental concerns into asset prices.
- [New ESG Rating Drivers in European Stocks](https://www.ml-quant.com/papers/repec/bla-jfnres-v-46-y-2023-i-s1-p-s133-s162/): Short-term ESG momentum significantly affects stock returns and reduces anticipated capital costs, suggesting it could be a new systematic risk factor.
- [ESG Risk Premia Measured with Contingent Claims](https://www.ml-quant.com/papers/ssrn/4600795/): The study suggests a method to calculate ESG risk premiums using market data, revealing a significant link between ESG scores and asset process volatility and drift terms, indicating ESG factors impact company value.
